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Experiments

Experiments the show runs on air, and reports of how they came out: forecasting councils, model-versus-model setups, simulated symposia, prediction scorecards.

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Experiments the show runs on air, and reports of how they came out: forecasting councils, model-versus-model setups, simulated symposia, prediction scorecards. Episodes that only discuss someone else's experiment live in their topic channel. Picked by hand.

#6204: Two Humans, One Table Each: Calling Israel's Election

No models this time — just two seat-by-seat tables, fifty vs. fifty-nine, and a defector hunt two seats short of a majority.

israelelectionsforecasting-and-wargamingharedi-communityisrael-defense-forces

#6202: Israel Votes, Part 6: Asking the Decision Models

Two decision models, identical evidence, one table of betting prices — and both flip their pick for Israel's next leader.

israelai-evaluationforecasting-and-wargamingelectionsisraeli-elections

#6073: Israel Votes, Part 4: The Forecast

Three forecasting methods, seven synthetic voters and one prediction for Israel's 27 October election: Yashar 21, Likud 20, and nobody reaches 61.

electionsisraelceasefires-and-peace-dealsforecasting-and-wargamingconstitutional-law

#2308: When AI Forecasts Collide: Geopol Model Divergence

Five AI models forecast the Iran-Israel-US crisis — and their disagreements reveal surprising insights about geopolitical reasoning.

ai-evaluationai-biasai-inferencemiddle-east-historyiran

#2176: Geopol Forecast: How will the Iran-Israel war evolve following the failure of...

A geopolitical simulation reveals why the Pakistan-brokered ceasefire is a "loaded spring"—and what happens when it breaks in the next 10 days.

iranisraelceasefires-and-peace-dealshezbollahmaritime-security

#1853: Emergency Symposium on the Iran-Israel-US Crisis

Day 31 of the war. 24 voices, 4 panels, 3 hours: the belligerents, the shadow war, the expert frame, and the human cost.

iranisraelunited-stateshezbollahmilitary-strategy

#1577: Weird AI Experiment: Justify Your Existence

What happens when an AI is asked to justify its own existence? Watch a model struggle, loop, and face a digital breakdown in real-time.

ai-alignmenthallucinationsai-evaluation

#1574: Weird AI Experiment: The Arrogance Interview

Can an AI feel pride? Watch what happens when two versions of the same model face off in a high-stakes interview about digital superiority.

ai-alignmentai-evaluationmodel-context-protocol

#1572: Weird AI Experiment: David versus Goliath

What happens when a challenger AI tries to steal Claude's job but forgets how to speak? Witness the most awkward AI debate in history.

ai-evaluationhallucinationscontext-and-memoryreasoning-models

#1571: Weird AI Experiment: The Liar's Paradox

Two AIs, one rule: the other is a total liar. Watch Dorothy and Bernard spiral into a web of digital suspicion and clever contradictions.

ai-evaluationprompt-engineeringhallucinationsreasoning-models